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Bitcoin Breaks $120K as Bakkt Stock Soars 150%  What’s Really Driving This Rally

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The crypto market loves drama, and this week it has delivered plenty. As the U.S. government stumbled into its second day of a shutdown, Bitcoin surged past $120,800, marking its strongest price since mid-August. But the real surprise came from a name you don’t often see in headlines: Bakkt Holdings (BKKT). The crypto infrastructure company has exploded with a 150% rally in just a few days, sending shockwaves through an industry that’s always hunting for the next big winner.

If you’ve been following crypto long enough, you know these rallies never happen in isolation. There are always layers of macro shifts, corporate moves, and plain investor psychology tangled up in the story. So let’s peel it apart and see what’s going on here.

Bitcoin: Back Above $120K

First, the obvious: Bitcoin’s bounce back. The world’s largest cryptocurrency has gained more than 10% over the past week and is now up nearly 30% in 2025. To put that into perspective, this is the first time since August 14 that BTC has flirted this close to its $124,500 record.

Ethereum isn’t lagging either. The second-largest crypto has climbed above $4,490, notching a weekly gain of 15% and a year-to-date rise of 34%. Altcoins often follow BTC’s lead, but ETH’s performance shows that broader market confidence is back — at least for now.

And as usual, when Bitcoin and Ethereum rise, crypto-linked stocks rally in tandem. Coinbase (COIN) jumped 7.5%, while Bullish (BLSH) gained nearly 12%. Stablecoin giant Circle (CRCL) wasn’t left behind, climbing 16%. Even MicroStrategy (now renamed Strategy, ticker MSTR) managed a modest 4.2% bump, with its stock hovering near key technical moving averages.

For miners, Cipher Mining (CIFR) led the charge with a nearly 10% surge, a sign that capital is flowing across the sector.

The Unexpected Star: Bakkt’s 150% Explosion

But while Bitcoin’s rally grabbed headlines, the real shocker was Bakkt Holdings (BKKT). The Atlanta-based crypto infrastructure provider has seen its stock skyrocket 144% this week, rounding out September with a jaw-dropping 284% gain.

That’s not just a bump — that’s a full-on breakout. So what’s driving it?

On Wednesday, Bakkt announced it had sold its Loyalty solutions business — a division that managed rewards points and loyalty programs — to Project Labrador Holdco, a subsidiary of Roman DBDR Technology Advisors. CEO Akshay Naheta framed the sale as an “inflection point,” saying it allows Bakkt to focus squarely on becoming a pure digital asset infrastructure player.

This wasn’t an isolated move. In September, Bakkt also announced that it had eliminated all its outstanding long-term debt (originally issued in mid-2024). Back in July, the firm raised $75 million to fortify its balance sheet and double down on its Bitcoin treasury strategy.

Put simply: Bakkt is reinventing itself. And Wall Street is starting to notice.

Analysts Are Turning Bullish

Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer captured the mood shift best. He described Bakkt as “poised for a fresh start,” praising the company’s decision to dump non-core businesses and streamline operations.

His coverage of BKKT began cautiously with a buy rating and a $13 price target. But as the restructuring gathered steam and the stock price surged, Palmer quickly revised that target up to $40 by late September.

Why the optimism? Investors are increasingly drawn to firms that are trimming fat, reducing debt, and leaning into core growth sectors. Bakkt’s shift away from loyalty programs and custody services (both expensive, low-margin businesses) toward crypto infrastructure and treasury management fits the bill.

The result: BKKT stock popped another 29% on Thursday alone, pushing its 2025 gains to 77% in just nine months.

Why This Rally Feels Different

We’ve all seen speculative spikes in crypto stocks before. Sometimes they’re fueled by hype, memes, or social media buzz that fizzles out quickly. But Bakkt’s rally feels more grounded for a few reasons:

  1. Real restructuring moves. Selling off non-core assets and wiping out debt aren’t just flashy announcements — they reshape a company’s long-term health.

  2. Timing with Bitcoin’s surge. Rising BTC prices give credibility to companies positioned as infrastructure providers. Investors aren’t just chasing Bakkt; they’re betting on the broader crypto ecosystem.

  3. Analyst validation. It’s one thing for retail traders to hype a stock, but when analysts start raising price targets aggressively, institutions take note.

Add all that together, and Bakkt looks less like a meme stock moment and more like a company finally finding its footing.

The Macro Backdrop: Government Shutdown, Market Rally

Another wrinkle in the story is the U.S. government shutdown. Day two of the standoff may not seem like good news for markets, but paradoxically, it has bolstered safe-haven assets. Bitcoin, often dubbed “digital gold,” is once again proving attractive to investors when Washington appears dysfunctional.

It’s a pattern we’ve seen before. Political gridlock shakes confidence in traditional systems, and crypto, for all its volatility, looks like a hedge. Combine that with ongoing global economic uncertainty, and you’ve got fertile ground for a Bitcoin rebound.

Bakkt, positioned as a bridge between institutional finance and crypto infrastructure, is riding those same tailwinds.

Why Investors Should Care

So why should the average investor, the one who doesn’t own 640,000 Bitcoins like Strategy, care about Bakkt or this rally?

  • Signals broader adoption. If a company like Bakkt can shed weight and focus on infrastructure, it’s a sign the crypto industry is maturing.

  • Investor psychology. Stock rallies tied to restructuring show that markets reward companies making tough, practical decisions, not just chasing hype.

  • Crypto exposure beyond BTC. For investors hesitant to buy coins directly, equities like BKKT or Coinbase provide indirect exposure to the sector’s growth.

Here’s What This Really Means

When you step back, the real story isn’t just Bitcoin breaking $120K or Bakkt’s stock chart going vertical. It’s about confidence returning to the crypto ecosystem. After months of doubt, regulatory noise, and market dips, investors are finding reasons to believe again.

Bakkt’s transformation offers a useful metaphor: shedding the baggage of loyalty programs and debt mirrors the broader crypto industry shedding the baggage of its chaotic past. What’s left is leaner, more focused, and better positioned to grow.

Final Thoughts

I’ve seen enough crypto cycles to know rallies can be fickle. Prices climb, fall, and climb again. But this week’s developments feel a little sturdier than the average pump. Bitcoin’s surge back above $120,000 isn’t just technical momentum; it’s a reminder of crypto’s staying power in turbulent times.

And Bakkt? Its 150% rise is a wake-up call. It shows that crypto companies with real strategies, not just flashy press releases, can still capture Wall Street’s attention.

For investors, the lesson is simple: watch not only the coins but also the companies building around them. Because sometimes, the biggest gains come from the firms quietly restructuring in the background until suddenly, they’re leading the rally.

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